State & Nation Sports Desk · Model ppg-trial-v1 · Published
Day 2 — November 2, 2026. One pregame paper single is published, a four-pick shortfall. Exact model screen: Chicago at Seattle, the sole NFL game dated November 2 on the official DraftKings Network board; both spreads (CHI +3 -102 / SEA -3 -118) and both total sides (46.5, -110 each) were compared using documented NFL scoring averages. Select the under's 2.50-point discrepancy over the spread's 1.07. No moneyline, props, alternate lines or futures were modeled. Other NFL entries on the board dated November 5 or November 8 were excluded from today's slate. The DraftKings NBA and NHL landing pages were checked but their retrieved content exposed no usable exact game-line tables; no individual games in those sports were model-screened. No separately documented non-NFL trial method was applied, and the NFL formula was not transferred to another sport. This is not a claim of the best bet across all sports. Prices are published-board snapshots, not guaranteed live or executable offers, and may differ by jurisdiction/account; recheck your local book and exact market. The official team kickoff is 8:15 p.m. Eastern (board displays 8:20); use the earlier time. Yesterday, November 1: 2 wins, 3 losses, no pushes/voids/unresolved picks; −1.198052 units on five units risked, −23.9610% ROI. The same is the cumulative settled segment record; today's one pick is pending and excluded from ROI stakes. October prelaunch notes remain excluded. All five November 1 original selections and prices have been preserved.
Odds are a snapshot from publication, not a live offer. These are archived selections.
#1 · NFL · total
Under 46.5 — Bears/Seahawks
Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks ·
DraftKings -110
Trial projection: 44.00 points combined · Difference from selected line: 2.50 points. This is a ranking measure, not an estimated betting profit.
The ppg-trial-v1 projection is Chicago 21.04, Seattle 22.96: 44.00 combined points, 2.50 below DraftKings Network's 46.5 total. The spread screen favors Chicago +3 by only 1.07 points, so the total has the larger point discrepancy and is the sole selection for this game. This is not a probability or EV estimate. Season averages do not adjust for opponent strength, pace, weather, current quarterback/lineup availability, or overtime risk. No injury adjustment is assumed. One paper unit risked. Seattle's official kickoff is 8:15 p.m. Eastern; the published odds board labels 8:20 p.m.; the earlier official time governs pregame eligibility.
ppg-trial-v1 NFL prospective trial. Inputs: CHI PF 180/7, PA 143/7; SEA PF 168/7, PA 125/7. Preserve full precision until display. awayScore=(away PF/game+home PA/game)/2−0.75; homeScore=(home PF/game+away PA/game)/2+0.75. Total 44.00; Seattle margin 1.928571. Total gap 46.5−44=2.5; Chicago +3 spread discrepancy 3−1.928571=1.071429. Rank by positive point discrepancy, one market per game. Uncalibrated; no win probabilities, EV or claimed profitable history.
Break-even win rate conditional on no push: 52.38%.
Results for this report
Original picks · 2026-11-02 · one unit risked per pick
Selection
Original odds
Final / source
Result
Net units
Under 46.5 — Bears/Seahawks Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
-110
Bears 34, Seahawks 17 Official Seattle report confirms a completed 34-17 game: 51 total points. Original full-game Under 46.5 at -110 loses; net -1 unit on one unit risked. No overtime was needed. Original report, total and price preserved. No actual wager was placed.
LOSS
-1.00
0 wins · 1 losses · 0 pushes · 0 voids · 0 pending · -1.00 net units
Previous day’s results · 2026-11-01
Original picks · 2026-11-01 · one unit risked per pick
Selection
Original odds
Final / source
Result
Net units
Tennessee Titans +12.5 Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals
-112
Titans 36, Bengals 43 (OT) Original Titans +12.5 at -112: seven-point loss covers. One unit risked; net +0.892857 units. Official NFL final verified. Full-game paper grading; DraftKings football overtime/push provisions reviewed in regulator-hosted rules https://massgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/DraftKings-House-Rules-8.1.24.pdf (archival jurisdiction-specific reference); no actual wager settlement is asserted.
WIN
+0.89
Under 54.5 — Cardinals/Cowboys Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys
-108
Cardinals 33, Cowboys 30 (OT) Original Under 54.5 at -108: 63 combined points exceeds 54.5. Net -1 unit. Official NFL final verified. Full-game paper grading; DraftKings football overtime/push provisions reviewed in regulator-hosted rules https://massgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/DraftKings-House-Rules-8.1.24.pdf (archival jurisdiction-specific reference); no actual wager settlement is asserted.
LOSS
-1.00
Indianapolis Colts +10 Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars
-115
Colts 7, Jaguars 42 Original Colts +10 at -115: 35-point loss does not cover. Net -1 unit. Official NFL final verified. Full-game paper grading; DraftKings football overtime/push provisions reviewed in regulator-hosted rules https://massgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/DraftKings-House-Rules-8.1.24.pdf (archival jurisdiction-specific reference); no actual wager settlement is asserted.
LOSS
-1.00
Over 38.5 — Browns/Steelers Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers
-118
Browns 6, Steelers 27 Original Over 38.5 at -118: 33 combined points is below 38.5. Net -1 unit. Official NFL final verified. Full-game paper grading; DraftKings football overtime/push provisions reviewed in regulator-hosted rules https://massgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/DraftKings-House-Rules-8.1.24.pdf (archival jurisdiction-specific reference); no actual wager settlement is asserted.
LOSS
-1.00
Over 45.5 — Raiders/Jets Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets
-110
Raiders 38, Jets 33 Original Over 45.5 at -110: 71 combined points exceeds 45.5. Net +0.909091 units. Official NFL final verified. Full-game paper grading; DraftKings football overtime/push provisions reviewed in regulator-hosted rules https://massgaming.com/wp-content/uploads/DraftKings-House-Rules-8.1.24.pdf (archival jurisdiction-specific reference); no actual wager settlement is asserted.
